Posts Tagged ‘poll result’
Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,May 4th,2016
.. there are things that you can llok for in a poll to determine if it is indeed worthwhile ….
.. [-] sample size — the larger the sample , the better ..
.. [-] a tracking poll — not a bad idea . It is a poll that is done over several days . It is also done that way for a long period of time by the pollster , in order to ensure better comparison and reliability ..
.. [h/t — Newsmax.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post ..
.. [-] a poll with ” All Adults ” is no good . There is a significant chunk of adults that do not register to vote , much less actually vote itself . So ignore this stuff , it is worthless ..
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.. [-] registered voters — a decent poll , but others are much better . Once people register to vote , there is a significant pocket of voters that do not bother to vote[ever] at all ..
.. [-] likely voters — these voters are the most likely to actually vote ..
.. [-] very likely voters — these voters are the very most likely of all voters to actually vote …
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: All Adults, likely voters, political poll, poll result, polling sample, polling trend, registered voter, sample size, standard deviation, tracking poll, Very Likely Voters | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,November 22nd,2014
.. she just may be going , going , about to go ..
.. however , the tough work still needs to be done ..
.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the poll result …
.. the fist major polls are out [post – election] in LA . Guess what ?? ..
.. Bill Cassidy is up . No surprise . by a lot … that is a surprise …
.. but , 16 points ?! ..
.. we will see …
Posted in communications strategy, personal opinion | Tagged: Bill Cassidy, Louisiana, Mary Landrieu, political race, poll result, runoff | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,November 4th,2014
.. basically , the races are pretty much over in Ohio ..
.. you can largely thank DemoCrap Governor candidate Ed Fitzgerald [D-Cuyahoga County] for this incipient debacle in – waiting …
.. [h/t –– ColumbusDispatch.com]..
.. [link] to the news story // poll result …
.. the only statewide office holder that has to sweat it out is state Treasurer Josh Mandel . Mandel is ahead only 8 points on DemoCrap nominee Connie Pillich . otherwise , the other statewide candidates are ahead by double digits …
.. In John Kasich ‘ s case , he is up 28 points on Fitzgerald . 28 points …. Ouch ! …
.. that includes the state supreme court races . After Tuesday , the State Supreme Court should still be 5 conservatives , 1 RINO , and 1 loonie leftie DemoCrap …
— [update] — from the article –> the early vote downstate in greater Columbus [Franklin County & surrounding counties] is great news for the GOP … the numbers are the reverse of 2010 , and the GOP ground game is going great guns … not only can they get the total #s for early votes by county , they can also get the county vote by party for Dem , GOP , and other ….
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: Columbus Dispatch, Ohio, poll result, statewide office holder | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,October 24th,2014
.. and his is an important name …. Dan Sullivan ..
.. now the polling will begin …. after Rasmussen ‘ s result …
.. [h/t — m.nationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign poll result …
.. Dan Sullivan is up 47% to 45% , a result that should give Mark Begich a good bit of heartburn . He is under the 50% mark , and he is BEHIND his challenger …
.. the upcoming polls should be interesting …. especially the partisan lean …
— [update] — Dan Sullivan has been doing beautifully on the campaign trail . His campaign message is fantastic , and he has had incumbent Mark Begich constantly on his heels . The polls finally show it … Sullivan leads Begich 48% to 42% …
.. Go , Dan , Go !!!! …
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: Alaska, poll result, US Senate | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,October 21st,2014
.. at least there are signs of hope in Kansas …
.. Pat Roberts [not that he deserves it] has taken a decent lead over DemoCrap fraud turned Independent Greg Orman , 48% to 45% , with just 5% undecided , and 2% for the libertarian candidate …
.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com(CampaignSpot)]..
.. [link] to the poll results …
.. even better , the tide seems to be turning in the Governor ‘ s race . Sam Brownback seems to finally be getting his act together . He has taken a small but decent lead , 48% to 44% , over DemoCrap Paul Davis .
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: Kansas, poll result | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,September 23rd,2014
.. especially so , considering it is a Quinnipiac University poll …
.. those Q polls are notorious for being DemoCrap – leaning in their sample distribution . So , the GOP does not look all that good in them , to say the least ….
.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign poll …
.. in this one , Joni Ernst has built a nice and healthy lead . She leads DemoCrap opponent Bruce Braley 50% to 44% , with 6% undecided . She only trails by 6 pts among women , but she has built a commanding 17 point lead among men , 56% to 39% …
.. Go , Joni , Go !! …
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: Bruce Braley, campaign, campaign poll, Iowa, Joni Ernst, poll result, US Senate | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,September 2nd,2014
.. scare the DemoCraps to death ..
.. Scott Rasmussen is polling . Not with increased frequency . yet ..
.. however , local media is [like WMUR – tv in NH] and they are showing surprises …
.. [h/t — m.nationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign news …
.. like the Shaheen – Brown race showing it being a statistical dead heat , and al Franken being only 4 points ahead OF MIKE McFadden in Minnesota …
.. in Minnesota ?!?!
.. I think that the LameStream media is scared out of its wits about what it is about to find out …. Good !! ….
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: e - media, electronic media, Gallup, local media, magazine, newspaper, opinion poll, poll result, polling organization, public polling, Rasmussen Reports, tv station, WMUR - tv | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,August 28th,2014
.. or , it just might be , according to this post …
.. [h/t — hotair.com]..
.. [link] to the poll results …
.. Scott Brown is now right on Jeanne Shaheen ‘ s heels . Worse for Shaheen , she is now under 50% , and she is thisclose to Brown …
.. this is a big surprise . Given previous poll results , I though that Shaheen was likely going to hold off Brown in this race . Maybe not …
.. I would think that WMUR [a big TV station in New Hampshire] would have double – checked the results on this one . I suspect that the Manchester Union – Leader and other media are going to run follow – up polls to see if this is an outlier …. or a trend …
.. the link has some pretty entertaining and hard – hitting ads that have been up in Boston [broadcasting into NH] and in the Granite State itself …. also , Brown has been barnstorming the state , holding town halls all over the place . Shaheen ? Not one …
.. also , Brown has been hammering away on immigration . If these polling results are confirmed , it will get a lot of people ‘ s attention . Especially in the Obama White House . His possible [[read : likely] Executive Amnesty may not be all that popular , especially with the flood of border kids this year , and possibly next …
Posted in personal opinion, political accountability, political agenda | Tagged: confirmation, outlier, poll accuracy, poll result | Leave a Comment »
Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,July 24th,2014
.. no , I do not like the guy .
.. the guy is a walking , talking clusterf-bomb .
.. there have been loonie leftie Governors of Colorado before , but nothing quite like this guy . Yuuck ! ..
.. well , Hickieboy is in it deep , now . It is 4 months to Election Day , and he is in Deep Trouble in River City (so to speak) …
.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the column ..
.. now , GOP Senate candidate [congresscritter] Cory Gardiner is leading incumbent Mark Udall 44% to 42% , and former Congresscritter and businessman Bob Beauprez is now leading Hickenweenie by a point , 44% to 43% …. Yeow ! …
.. if an incumbent is below 50% , that means big trouble . Even if the seat is ” open , ” the incumbent party should be near or at or over 50% . If they are not , then that candidate is in deep doo – doo . The further below 50% they are , the more trouble it is . Also , if they are behind their opponent , it is as close to a ” Kiss of Death ” as one can get …
Posted in personal opinion | Tagged: all americans, all citizens, all registered voters, likely voters, political analysis, political poll, poll questions, poll result, polling screen | Leave a Comment »