Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘poll result’

… What to Look for in Polling ?? [#the audience]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,May 4th,2016

.. there are things that you can llok for in a poll to determine if it is indeed worthwhile ….

.. [-] sample size — the larger the sample , the better ..

.. [-] a tracking poll — not a bad idea . It is a poll that is done over several days . It is also done that way for a long period of time by the pollster , in order to ensure better comparison and reliability ..

.. [h/t — Newsmax.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post ..

.. [-] a poll with ” All Adults ” is no good . There is a significant chunk of adults that do not register to vote , much less actually vote itself . So ignore this stuff , it is worthless ..
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.. [-] registered voters — a decent poll , but others are much better . Once people register to vote , there is a significant pocket of voters that do not bother to vote[ever] at all ..

.. [-] likely voters — these voters are the most likely to actually vote ..

.. [-] very likely voters — these voters are the very most likely of all voters to actually vote …

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… Bye – Bye , Landrieu ??[#Louisiana]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,November 22nd,2014

.. she just may be going , going , about to go ..

.. however , the tough work still needs to be done ..

.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the poll result …

.. the fist major polls are out [post – election] in LA . Guess what ?? ..

.. Bill Cassidy is up . No surprise . by a lot … that is a surprise …

.. but , 16 points ?! ..

.. we will see …

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… Say GoodNight Gracie [#Ohio Statewide poll]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,November 4th,2014

.. basically , the races are pretty much over in Ohio ..

.. you can largely thank DemoCrap Governor candidate Ed Fitzgerald [D-Cuyahoga County] for this incipient debacle in – waiting …

.. [h/t –– ColumbusDispatch.com]..
.. [link] to the news story // poll result …

.. the only statewide office holder that has to sweat it out is state Treasurer Josh Mandel . Mandel is ahead only 8 points on DemoCrap nominee Connie Pillich . otherwise , the other statewide candidates are ahead by double digits …

.. In John Kasich ‘ s case , he is up 28 points on Fitzgerald . 28 points …. Ouch ! …

.. that includes the state supreme court races . After Tuesday , the State Supreme Court should still be 5 conservatives , 1 RINO , and 1 loonie leftie DemoCrap …

— [update] — from the article –> the early vote downstate in greater Columbus [Franklin County & surrounding counties] is great news for the GOP … the numbers are the reverse of 2010 , and the GOP ground game is going great guns … not only can they get the total #s for early votes by county , they can also get the county vote by party for Dem , GOP , and other ….

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… Now Begich has an Opponent [#Alaska Senate]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,October 24th,2014

.. and his is an important name …. Dan Sullivan ..

.. now the polling will begin …. after Rasmussen ‘ s result …

.. [h/t — m.nationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign poll result …

.. Dan Sullivan is up 47% to 45% , a result that should give Mark Begich a good bit of heartburn . He is under the 50% mark , and he is BEHIND his challenger …

.. the upcoming polls should be interesting …. especially the partisan lean …

— [update] — Dan Sullivan has been doing beautifully on the campaign trail . His campaign message is fantastic , and he has had incumbent Mark Begich constantly on his heels . The polls finally show it … Sullivan leads Begich 48% to 42% …

.. Go , Dan , Go !!!! …

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… Good — Progess in Kansas [#poll result] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,October 21st,2014

.. at least there are signs of hope in Kansas …

.. Pat Roberts [not that he deserves it] has taken a decent lead over DemoCrap fraud turned Independent Greg Orman , 48% to 45% , with just 5% undecided , and 2% for the libertarian candidate …

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com(CampaignSpot)]..
.. [link] to the poll results …

.. even better , the tide seems to be turning in the Governor ‘ s race . Sam Brownback seems to finally be getting his act together . He has taken a small but decent lead , 48% to 44% , over DemoCrap Paul Davis .

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… Just as I suspected [#Iowa US Senate]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,September 23rd,2014

.. especially so , considering it is a Quinnipiac University poll …

.. those Q polls are notorious for being DemoCrap – leaning in their sample distribution . So , the GOP does not look all that good in them , to say the least ….

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign poll …

.. in this one , Joni Ernst has built a nice and healthy lead . She leads DemoCrap opponent Bruce Braley 50% to 44% , with 6% undecided . She only trails by 6 pts among women , but she has built a commanding 17 point lead among men , 56% to 39% …

.. Go , Joni , Go !! …

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… What Polling Results there Are [#Elections 2014]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,September 2nd,2014

.. scare the DemoCraps to death ..

.. Scott Rasmussen is polling . Not with increased frequency . yet ..

.. however , local media is [like WMUR – tv in NH] and they are showing surprises …

.. [h/t — m.nationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign news …

.. like the Shaheen – Brown race showing it being a statistical dead heat , and al Franken being only 4 points ahead OF MIKE McFadden in Minnesota …

.. in Minnesota ?!?!

.. I think that the LameStream media is scared out of its wits about what it is about to find out …. Good !! ….

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… Now , the Granite State may be in Play [#NH] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,August 28th,2014

.. or , it just might be , according to this post …

.. [h/t — hotair.com]..
.. [link] to the poll results …

.. Scott Brown is now right on Jeanne Shaheen ‘ s heels . Worse for Shaheen , she is now under 50% , and she is thisclose to Brown …

.. this is a big surprise . Given previous poll results , I though that Shaheen was likely going to hold off Brown in this race . Maybe not …

.. I would think that WMUR [a big TV station in New Hampshire] would have double – checked the results on this one . I suspect that the Manchester Union – Leader and other media are going to run follow – up polls to see if this is an outlier …. or a trend …

.. the link has some pretty entertaining and hard – hitting ads that have been up in Boston [broadcasting into NH] and in the Granite State itself …. also , Brown has been barnstorming the state , holding town halls all over the place . Shaheen ? Not one …

.. also , Brown has been hammering away on immigration . If these polling results are confirmed , it will get a lot of people ‘ s attention . Especially in the Obama White House . His possible [[read : likely] Executive Amnesty may not be all that popular , especially with the flood of border kids this year , and possibly next …

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… More DemoCrap Trouble in Colorado [#Hickenweenie]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,July 24th,2014

.. no , I do not like the guy .

.. the guy is a walking , talking clusterf-bomb .

.. there have been loonie leftie Governors of Colorado before , but nothing quite like this guy . Yuuck ! ..

.. well , Hickieboy is in it deep , now . It is 4 months to Election Day , and he is in Deep Trouble in River City (so to speak) …

.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the column ..

.. now , GOP Senate candidate [congresscritter] Cory Gardiner is leading incumbent Mark Udall 44% to 42% , and former Congresscritter and businessman Bob Beauprez is now leading Hickenweenie by a point , 44% to 43% …. Yeow ! …

.. if an incumbent is below 50% , that means big trouble . Even if the seat is ” open , ” the incumbent party should be near or at or over 50% . If they are not , then that candidate is in deep doo – doo . The further below 50% they are , the more trouble it is . Also , if they are behind their opponent , it is as close to a ” Kiss of Death ” as one can get …

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