Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘political poll’

… It is One of Many Problems [#Miz Hillary][#voter support]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,July 20th,2016

.. you wonder why Miz Hillary is trying the Obama tactic of working to irradiate his opponent ? Guess why ?? ..

.. if these polling results are right [and they usually are] , Miz Hillary is having loads of problems attracting political support . Not only that , those problems are not being reflected in the LameStreamMedia polls ..

.. she is having great trouble attracting the young , Latinos . Worse than that , she is having a great deal of trouble getting over 55 % support of the Jewish vote . The Dems have been blind to demographic , philosophical , and theological changes in modern Judaism . Those changes show in Trump attracting almost 38% support of Jews . If that continues , it will not endanger Miz Hillry in NY , but it will in NJ , and in Florida ..

.. [h/t — Newsmax.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post news ..

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… What to Look for in Polling ?? [#the audience]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,May 4th,2016

.. there are things that you can llok for in a poll to determine if it is indeed worthwhile ….

.. [-] sample size — the larger the sample , the better ..

.. [-] a tracking poll — not a bad idea . It is a poll that is done over several days . It is also done that way for a long period of time by the pollster , in order to ensure better comparison and reliability ..

.. [h/t — Newsmax.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post ..

.. [-] a poll with ” All Adults ” is no good . There is a significant chunk of adults that do not register to vote , much less actually vote itself . So ignore this stuff , it is worthless ..
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.. [-] registered voters — a decent poll , but others are much better . Once people register to vote , there is a significant pocket of voters that do not bother to vote[ever] at all ..

.. [-] likely voters — these voters are the most likely to actually vote ..

.. [-] very likely voters — these voters are the very most likely of all voters to actually vote …

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… Scotland could Go Independent …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,September 11th,2014

.. Scotland votes in a independence referendum on September 18th …

.. it just may well choose to go for independence after nearly 300 years …

.. [h/t — theScotsman.com]..
.. [link] to the news story …

.. according to the Scotsman , the ” yes ” side has taken the lead for the first time . I am not surprised . Scots are an independent lot . Once Britain went for devolution of legislative powers to Scotland a number of years ago , one could see this coming …

.. whether it decide to or not is another question …

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… More DemoCrap Trouble in Colorado [#Hickenweenie]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,July 24th,2014

.. no , I do not like the guy .

.. the guy is a walking , talking clusterf-bomb .

.. there have been loonie leftie Governors of Colorado before , but nothing quite like this guy . Yuuck ! ..

.. well , Hickieboy is in it deep , now . It is 4 months to Election Day , and he is in Deep Trouble in River City (so to speak) …

.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the column ..

.. now , GOP Senate candidate [congresscritter] Cory Gardiner is leading incumbent Mark Udall 44% to 42% , and former Congresscritter and businessman Bob Beauprez is now leading Hickenweenie by a point , 44% to 43% …. Yeow ! …

.. if an incumbent is below 50% , that means big trouble . Even if the seat is ” open , ” the incumbent party should be near or at or over 50% . If they are not , then that candidate is in deep doo – doo . The further below 50% they are , the more trouble it is . Also , if they are behind their opponent , it is as close to a ” Kiss of Death ” as one can get …

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