Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Archive for the ‘political strategy’ Category

… If Loretta Lynch has lost John McCain [#AG nomination]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,March 28th,2015

.. then the effort to confirm her is indeed in deep trouble .

.. the GOP now controls the US Senate . The DemoCraps do not . The DummyCraps can stammer , huff , puff , and try to blow a house down all that they want , but as long as the majority holds firm , Lynch ‘ s nomination will not receive a vote . At the very least , not anytime soon ..

.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post …

.. right now , the nomination is in real trouble . US Sen John McCain [R-Az] has come out openly against her nomination . Much more so is why he did . He has stated specifically that her position on POTUS ‘ so – called Executive Action on Immigration [which came out during questioning for her confirmation hearings] is what made him come out so openly against her …

.. She will not get a vote anytime soon . A good number of committee chairmen are against her . I suspect most of the Senate leadership has decided to vote her nomination down . But the Majority Leader ? That I am not sure of , yet . if he decides to oppose her , then her nomination is effectively dead , no matter how much His Lordship and the Senate DemoCraps protest …

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… good Going , Charlie Baker [#Mass Governor]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,October 17th,2014

.. so far , so good .>

.. Charlie Baker , the businessman , is leading atty General Martha Coakley , 45% to 39%. This is in deep – Blue Massachusetts , folks …

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the blog news ..

.. before , Coakley was up , close to double digits , and now she is behind . She is the known quantity in mass politics , folks . Baker is not . She should win this race going away , and , like 2010 , it looks like she is going to blow another statewide race …

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… Bruce Rauner is Still the Favourite [#Illinois Governor]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,September 9th,2014

.. even though the race might be tightening …

.. yes , the polls say that Rauner ‘ s lead is down to 8 points . It also now takes into account that there is a libertarian in the race …

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the news / poll …

.. it is rare for libertarians to run in Illinois . Yes , they do have an organized Libertarian party there . Given the circumstances , the DemoCraps would attack and demagogue Bruce Rauner on almost anything …

.. it just reminds the GOP to keep its eye on the ball , and its intent on its campaign message . Adjust the message , if needed . Pound on Quinn for the slimebombs , when needed . He deserves it . But remember what is at stake …

.. Illinois ‘ future , and that of our country …

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… if Not Miz Hillary , then [#dem political bench]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,August 12th,2014

.. not a whole lot , folks .

.. the Dems have a problem . Their political bench is not all that deep . Some of their best possible candidates are former politicians [Richard Celeste , Ed Rendell] … so , what else is the problem for them ?? …

.. governors — the Dems only have 20 — they may only add 1 , net [Pa] , but they are likely to lose IL [Bruce Rauner is likely to beat Pat Quinn] . Their governor ‘ s lot , other than Deval Patrick [Ma] , is not all that great . To be honest , Governor Moobeam [Jerry Brown] does not look all that bad for them …

.. senators — Obama ‘ s antics and lack of quals are going to rule out Senators from both parties for a while . Only if a senator has had a private sector or public sector career before the Senate will make them look good . Given her controversies , Liz Warren is no leading light . Dick Durbin is likely to be the new Minority Leader once Dingy Harry loses in 2016 to Brian Sandoval …

.. past figures — Al Gore — been there , done that — are you kidding ?? …

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…Be Careful What You Wish For [#Impeachment]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,August 4th,2014

.. you just might get it ..

.. right now , the DemoCraps are conducting a fundraising marathon – to – beat – all over the ” I ” word …. not a big shock …

.. amazingly enough , even senior White House aides [including DannyBoy Pfeiffer] and FLOTUS herself are getting in on the act …

.. [h/t — WashingtonExaminer]..
.. [link] to the column ..

.. well , after the first of the year , once the GOP takes over Congress , do not be surprised if it actually comes to pass , given Obama ‘ s actions …

.. the House lawsuit may well do some good . It will , however , take a great deal of time . Crane v Napolitano had promise , but it has died , for now , unless it revives on appeal ….

.. the best case , inadvertantely , is the Arizona case over illegals and driver licenses . Az Gov Jan Brewer has taken this on as a crusade , and her successor [likely a Republican] hopefully will follow . This case will be a big issue in the Az Governor ‘ s election , and that will force the issue . This one , ideally could use a conflict with another circuit , but the Supremes may well take it on themselves …

.. if Obama pulls the stunt that I expect on illegals [exec action on legalization] , I am sure that he will pull it . It is just a question of whether of when he does it ….

.. When he does , the reaction is going to be a honey . It might goose Dem turnout a little , but it will enrage Republicans and Independents . I would bet that even a fair number of Dems will be pissed off by the manuveur . Then calls for the ” I ” word will explode , I will bet …

.. if he does , my voice will be one of them ! …

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… Uh , Oh … in Colorado [#Hickenweenie]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,July 24th,2014

.. not bad for a week of campaigning ..

.. businessman and columnist Bob Beauprez is already even with incumbent Colorado Governor John Hickenweenie [my pet name] at 44% to 44% . Ouch …

.. [h/t — ColoradoPeakPolitics]
.. [link] to the news item …

.. this means big trouble for two people … and only one of them is Hickenweenie ..

.. one is the obvious — Hickenweenie — an incumbent that is under 50% is in trouble . One that is under 45% is definitely in big trouble . Good ol ‘ Johnny is now at 44% . Oops …

.. also , he is tied with Bob Beauprez — never good …

.. the other is Mark Udall , the Senate candidate — he is in a tight race of his own . Right now , he is trailing congressman Cory Gardiner 43% to 42% . That puts him in even worse shape than Hickenweenie ….

.. Both normally would want to get a boost from the other . Right now , that ain’t happening . At the moment , these two are tied like ball and chains around each other ‘ s necks . Unless one or the other pulls clear , which is unlikely for now , they are both going to struggle for weeks to come ….

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… A Shellacking the DemoCraps so Richly Deserve …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,July 17th,2014

.. but , we will have to work like the dickens to give it to them …

.. remember , GOTV [get out the vote] was a big problem last time (2012) . The Romney folks plan for GOTV megabombed . It cost us quite a few states [Oh , Fl , Va , Co , Ia , Mi , etc]… possibly the election …

.. [h/t — TAS] …
.. [link] to the column ..

.. the DummyCraps will pull any dirty stunt , fair or foul [likely , foul] , to win . It is their nature . So , prepare the shitshields , we will need them …

.. a good starting point is Karl Rove ‘ s 96 – hour plan . It worked beautifully for 2 presidential elections , especially in 2004 . He is not an idiot . It just needs to be updated and streeeeetcccchhheeeedddd out over 5 weeks [the rough standard for early voting] ….

.. We meet and then beat the Dems in early voting , then our superior turnout effort for the end of the campaign will do its magic . It has worked before . It can and will work again ….

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… the European Vote was a Warning …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,May 31st,2014

.. it is a warning that the ruling parties in Europe should take heed to , and quickly …

.. this weekend , voters sent European governments a message . They are not happy with their economic circumstances . They are especially unhappy with the parties in government . Those folks had better take heed , otherwise they risk taking a drubbing at the polls at the next national elections in each nation …

.. [h/t — NationalReview]..
.. [link] to the article …

.. in nations with a free – market approach , voters were actually happy with what has been happening . Parties in Government [the Baltics , Poland , etc] gained seats . In other nations , voters took out their wrath on the government parties … in the U.k. , the U.K.Independence Party (which wants Britain out of the E.U.) finished first in the voting , with 28% . It was the first time in over 110 years that neither the Conservatives nor Labour finished on top in voting at an election of any kind … take heed , or else …

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… Are the DemoCraps that Nervous ?!?! [Miz Hillary]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,May 30th,2014

.. I would think so .

.. they worry about the ” inevitability ” factor ..

.. [h/t — TruthRevolt]..
.. [link] to the blog post ..

.. also , some , may be a fair number of them , want a debate on economic as well as other issues . They believe that , after the Age of Obama , it will give the party a fresh start , as well as a clean break . They also think that it will better prepare them for the general election campaign , as well . Most of all , a ” coronation ” is not a good thing …

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… Uh – Oh [Good News for Monica Wehby in Oregon] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Sunday,May 4th,2014

.. she is doing very nicely , thank you ..

.. a couple of weeks ago , she was trailing by 12 points . Now , she leads , but inside the margin of error ..

.. [h/t — hotair.com]..
.. [link] to the blog news ..

.. it is now the danger zone for the incumbent . Not only is Jeff Merkely tied to a colossal mess in the CoverOregon debacle , not only is he below the 50% threshhold , he is down towards the 40.0% threshhold , and that is among registered voters

.. Ouch ! ..

.. there are 14% of the voters that are undecided , and nearly 18.0% of female voters . Jeff Merkely is not yet a Dead Man Walking , but he is in some very , very , very serious political hot water …

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… Go Ahead , Make My Day [ObamaCrapCare suicide pact]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,April 29th,2014

.. you would think that pMSNBC would have send their people to school , first , before putting them on – the – air .

.. apparantely not ..

.. [h/t — HotAir]..
.. [link] to the video ..

.. this time , it is Melissa Harris – Perry that ends up looking like a colossal idiot …

.. the DemoCraps would have to be suicidal to run on ObamaCrapCare . Narrow Networks . Huge premium increases . Even bigger deductibles . Lack of Access ..

.. get the Picture . Got it ..

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… Go , Joni , Go [Joni Ernst , in Iowa (US Senate)] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,April 19th,2014

.. sometimes , a very good ad can become extraordinary …

.. so far , Joni Ernst has been steadily coming up in the polls …

.. [h/t — theRightScoop]..
.. [link] to the blog post …

.. a solid resume sure helps . An Iowa mother , a veteran of military service , a conservative , and a farmer [yes , even a pig farmer] …

.. an endorsement from a figure with national stature sure helps . Sarah Palin ‘ s endorsement may not go over well with DemoCraps , but her endorsement does wonders in GOP circles , especially with women . Also , in this race , her likely opponent helped contribute to the ‘ till …

.. her likely opponent , DemoCrap congresscritter Bruce Braley , made a colossal gaffe by making a very stooped attack on an Iowa institution , the senior Senator , republican Chuck Grasseley . Grasseley , who is one of 2 farmers in the US Senate , is not one to be trifled with . Braley attacked Grasseley , and looked stooped in the process …

.. in other words , Go , Joni , Go !! …

.. here is a [link] to get another look at her now famous ad …

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… Sick [Death Wishes on a Public Person]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,April 16th,2014

.. in this case , her name is Julie Boonstra …

.. Julie who ? …

.. [h/t — HotAir]..
.. [link] to the blog post ..

.. Julie Boonstra is the Michigan woman who has gotten involved in the Americans for Prosperity campaign against a US Senate candidate in her home state . She got involved because ObamaCrapCare turned her health insurance coverage and health care status upside down and inside out .

.. besides fighting for her life , what could she do : fight back …. so , she did …. and how . It seems that her ads have been quite effective , as GOP Senate candidate Terri Lyn Land has taken a nearly 10.0% lead in the polls against her probably DemoCrap oppoonent . Especially since neither Land nor Democrap Gary Peters [who is a Congresscritter] have been advertising all that much on T.V. …

.. so what happens , the interest groups have taken over , and boy , have they driven the debate and had an impact . Nicely done …

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… Earl Tomblin must have a Death Wish …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,April 4th,2014

.. Earl Ray Tomblin is the current Governor of West Virginia . How long he wants to remain in that job is really open to question ..

.. When Election Day comes this fall , no state is likely to get hit by the ” Red ” tide (relatively speaking) more than West Virginia . It has been forever since either chamber of the West VA legislature has been in GOP hands . This fall , that is likely to change . the West VA House is currently narrowly in DemoCrap control . That will likely flip to Red . The West Va Senate is a little more delicate . Iff it gets close enough , some of the Dems could be persauded to switch sides . Then , most likely , both chambers will be in GOP hands …

.. Tomblin will have to wipe his own fanny the next time out . West Virginia is almost suredly to be Red in the next Presidential election , so the topof the ticket will be no help . That candidate and Tomblin will both be wrapped around the failed policies of His Lordship , so it will be interesting to see whether he runs for re – election , or not . There will be no U.S. Senate race the next time , so Joe Manchin will not be able to save his fanny , either …

.. Bye , Bye , Earl !!

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview]..
.. [link] to the blog post …

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… Nice Going , Bruce Braley …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,April 2nd,2014

.. Bruce Braley is a congresscritter from Iowa . He is also a U.S. Senate candidate , running for the open seat that is being left open by the retirement by the departure of Thomas Harkin , a Democrap . He is trying to win the DemoCrap nomination and then the election …

.. [h/t — TruthRevolt]..
.. [link] to the video segment ..

.. Braley is also a lawyer , which normally in Washington , D. C. is an asset . Right now , after his foot – in – mouth stunt , it is not so muc . Basically , Braley attacked farmers in general , and his state ‘ s senior Senator , Charles Grasseley , in particular . In a campaign , to piss off a possible fellow senator is not such a great idea .

.. Braley teed off , attacking farmers , and praising lawyers . Really dumb movve , especially in Iowa . Agriculture is Iowa ‘ s biggest industry , and the state is chock full of farmers , especially ones that vote . They generally do not like lawyers all that much , either …

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… What Do You Think [Senate Predictions] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,March 31st,2014

.. now that I know of Nate Silver ‘ s new website …

.. and , that he is free of the New York Slimes (thank God) …

.. I will be able to bring you all more regular sctuff from him …

.. [h/t — fivethirtyeight.com]..
.. [link] to Nate ‘ s predictions …

.. here are Nate ‘ s predictions (I hope) …

fivethirtyeight.com prediction (03232014)

.. got it ! ..

.. I will tell you what I think …

.. [-] Alaska — Mark Begich got in by a quirk . Any later , by about 2 to 3 weeks , and Ted Stevens wins in a blowout after the outrage from the miscarriage of justice . Begich has tried to act as a moderate , but he is only a tool in Dingy Harry ‘  s shed …. most likely Lt. Gov. Mead  Treadwell will be the GOP nominee … will have big advantage , especially with former Governor Sarah Palin ‘ s endorsement (which he will likely  get) , because she is still enormously popular , and still lives in Alaska …

.. try 55%..

.. Colorado — Udall vs Congressman Cory Gardiner … Udall has been running well under 50% in the polls , even with his name , which is usually golden or silver in the West … the Governor ‘ s race will help tip this one one way or the other . John Hickenweenie is enormously unpopular , and will not have an easy time winning re – election .

.. also , the Dems will have trouble holding on to either chamber of the legislature , especially the Colorado Senate . It will likely flip , and the CO House might , as well

.. try 45% …

.. [-] Oregon — Dr. Monica Wehby , a pediatrician , is likely to be the GOP nominee up here . Jeff Merkely does not have a lot of $$ in the bank , yet . Also , he is not the ruthless politician that Ron Wyden (the senior senator) is . Also , the Cover Oregon disaster is getting enormous press . John Kithaber , also a doctor , is in real deep trouble , so Merkely will have no cover from the top of the ticket .

.. Also , the legislature is very much in play , as are two of the congressional seats held by Democrats . The Oregon House is very likely to go Red , and it might bring the state Senate along with it . The governor ‘ s race will get interesting , especially since a wealthy former Republican state rep , one who blew the whistle on Cover Oregon , is likely to be Kitz ‘ s opponent …

.. try something like 45% …

.. [-] Iowa — If Tom Harkin was running , you could forget this race .  He is gone ,so it makes a big difference . There is a barnburner of a race in the GOP primary . Congresscritter Bruce Braley is the likely Dem nominee . Braley should be clearly favoured , but is not . Terry Branstad is popular , and is running for  re –  election . His popularity will help rub off on the GOP , and should help make this one an election night barnburner …

.. try 48% …

.. [-] New Hampshire — former Massachusettes Senator Scott Brown is the all-but-inevitable GOP nominee . Jeanne Shaheen is still popular , but is still a freshwoman senator . Her vote for ObamaCrapCare will do her great damage . John Lynch is gone , so that helps . The congressional races will help , because both are rematches , and the ObamaCrapCare rollout has been nothing short of disastrous . One or both will flip back to the GOP , as will one or both chambers of the legislature ….

.. try 35% for now , but will develop …

.. [-] Michigan — Terri Lynn Land is leading in the polls , is better known , and has a great deal more money , and has been raising much more money , quarter for quarter , than her likely DemoCrap opponent , congresscritter Gary Peters . Various interest groups ads ,  especially Julie Boonstra ‘ s are pinning Peters to Obama . Michigan is more GOP , especially in off years , than most people think …

.. try 50% …

… to add it up — add in Michigan and Alaska , and for me , add in Oregon . I think that the Cover Oregon stink bomb will leave a big mess over everyone associated with it , including Jeff Merkely , who is a political lightweight . So , add it in as well .

.. GOP — plus nine !

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… C.P.A.C. — Sarah Palin …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,March 14th,2014

.. here is the C.P.A.C. keynote address from former Alaska Governor and FoxNews contributor Sarah Palin …

.. [h/t — theRightScoop]..
.. [link] to the speech ..

.. FoxNewsChannel carried her speech live end to end . It was hilarious , and it was fantastic . She is as funny as ever . It would be something if she did decide to run , but I think that she may not , at least for a while …

.. right now , her best way to contribute to the conservative movement is from the outside , from the media , and from the meat – and – potatoes circuit . She can earn some serious money while building her chits for the future , and possibly run for office , maybe even from a different state other than Alaska …

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… C.P.A.C. — Governor Rick Perry [R-Tx] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,March 12th,2014

.. here is the C.P.A.C. speech by Texas Governor and possible future Republican Presidential candidate Rick Perry [R-Tx] …

.. [h/t — theDaleyGator]..
.. [link] to the speech video …

.. unlike most candidates , Perry is going to have one hell of a record to run on , plus he will likely have turned over Texas to another Republican (Greg Abbott) . He will have left Texas in great financial shape , and have done so as well in great philosophical shape , as well .

.. Perry will have a great deal of work to do . Unlike the other possibles , he would need to show that he has lived down his bombing in debates reputation . He never did it back home in Texas , but he did on the big stage . If he wants to be considered for the big job , he will have to work his buns off for it . But , if he wants it , he just may well have another credible shot at it …

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… Crybabies [pro – Death forces] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,March 11th,2014

.. thankfully , in Georgia , the GOP controls the legislature , by large majorities .

.. so , thankfully , the pro life forces can pursue good bills such as this one . Basically , it institutes the Hyde amendment at the state level in the state of Georgia , prohibiting any state or federal funds from being used from funding abortions in any way , shape , or form …

.. however , the DemoCraps had a temper – tantrum . They used to rule the roost . They do not , anymore . They are trying to play their so – called ” War on Womyn ” demagoguery as a part of the debate on the Georgia pro – life bill . Well done , Georgia Pro – Life !! …

.. [h/t — theRightScoop]..
.. [link] to the news report …

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… Bibi at AIPAC …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,March 11th,2014

.. it took awhile to find a quality link to video of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ‘ s speech at this year ‘ s A.I.P.A.C. conference here in Washington , D.C. . But , I got it …

.. thank you to Professor William Jacobson at Legal Insurrection . They put out and put up really quality stuff …

.. I got a chance to watch the speech by Bibi . Wow ! It had been awhile since I had heard him speak to an American audience . I forgot that he worked quite a few years here in the U.S. in Massachusettes , in some cases with Bain Capital and Mitt Romney …

.. [h/t — LegalInsurrection]..
.. [link] to the speech video …

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… Temper Tantrum by POTUS …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,March 10th,2014

.. boy , oh boy , is Obama having a fit …

.. Dingy Harry Reid is having one just as big …

.. his nominee to head the Civil Rights Division of the Department of InJustice , law professor Debo Adegbile , was shot down today [Wednesday 03/05/2014] . The vote was 53 against , and 47 for the nomination …

.. Ouch ! …

.. effectively , the nomination is dead . The Senate GOP conference (all 45 senators) were unanimous against the nominee . It took 7 Dems to come across to vote against the nomination …. Does anyone think that the votes will change ? I do not …

.. [h/t — theGatewayPundit]..

.. [link] to the video segment …

.. Coons and Casey will not . Coons is from Delaware , and his state is dominated by Philadelphia ‘ s media market . Casey is from nearby suburban Philly ; he could never run again and have a realistic chance at winning . Manchin is a true moderate , and is from West Virginia ‘ s panhandle , running along PA ‘ s southern border [the Mason – Dixon line] . He is well aware of the Daniel Faulkner murder case .

.. John Walsh ? He is brand new , having been appointed to replace Max Baucus . His election race will be hard enough . Mark Pryor ? Dead Man Walking … Joe Donnelly (IN) and Heidi Heitkamp (ND) ? they cannot change , either , or they would get their heads handed to them in issue ads ..

.. other red state Dems will be under intense fire to reverse their support . Mary Landrieux is one . Kay Hagan is another . I would add Mark Warner (VA) , Mark Udall (Co) , and Jeanne Shaheen (NH) . They all voted in favour of Adegbile , and they are on the hot seat this fall . They will catch hell in issue ads …

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… What Is Jim Sensenbrenner Thinkingg?!?! …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Sunday,March 9th,2014

.. John Boehner should and must put a stop to this , immediately .

.. Project Veritas (that is Jim O ‘ Keefe , again) caught Sensenbrenner in the act of making a political ass of himself . The U.S. Supreme Court had sound reasons for ruling the way that it did in Shelby County v. Holder . The information that the Department of InJustice was using was from 1965 , for God ‘ s Sake . The bail – out provisions in the law were grossly unjust . There was no practical way for a covered jurisdiction to escape coverage , if Main InJustice did not want them to . There was no procedural or substantial due process at all …

.. And , now  , Jim Sensenbrenner wants to give this power back to Main InJustice . Especially to this administration ‘ s Department of InJustice . What is this idiot thinking ? Those idiots in Eric Holder ‘ s InJustice Department are a bunch of radical leftist racists . They would run wild with this power and grossly abuse it , like they have already …

.. No thank you …

.. [h/t — NationalReview]..

.. [link] to the investigative videos  ..

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… I Hope Someone Mounts a Ballot Issue [Religious Freedom]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,March 8th,2014

.. on the Religious Freedom Bill that was subject to a veto by Arizona Governor Jan Brewer this week .

.. obviously , it would have to be in an initiative / referendum state . There are only so many of those around . Hopefully , more than one will be mounted , so that the loonie left cannot concentrate their fire on only one state .

.. Hopefully , Arizona is one of them . Arizona is an initiative / referendum state , so it could have a ballot issue there . Do not leave it out there on the branch of a tree ; have other states mount the issue . Also , preferrably , have one or more big states on the line . Thankfully , my home state [Ohio] is one of them . It would be a terrific driver of turnout for Christians , conservatives , and Tea Partiers .

.. the question is when ? Not this year ; it is too late in the year to mount an initiative battle . Putting it on either the primary or general election ballot next year [2015] ? Maybe … it depends on what kind of turnout that you want … 2016 is a Presidential year . The turnout will be sky – high …. but of who ?

.. It is a good question , but one that deserves the time of day . People deserve to know , openly , that they have their religious freedom to protect themselves from activist gays and lesbians who seek to drive devout Christian believers and their businesses from the public sphere …

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… Bill O Reilly gives POTUS a lecture …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,March 7th,2014

.. on how to deal with Vladimir Putin .

.. I heard this live on Monday night . Bill was not the least bit friendly towards Obama , not one bit at all …

.. Bill nailed POTUS on top of his head . Hopefully , the ObamaCraps were watching , and will get the message …

.. [h/t — RealClearPolitics]..

.. [link] to the Talking Points Memo segment …

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.. Oh , Yeah [on the Beginning of Life] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,March 5th,2014

.. it seems that Planned Murderhood leader Cecile Richards had a colossal brain cramp .

.. it seems that she was appearing on a loonie leftie talk show . She was asked a question about the meaning of life . Well , she blew it , big time !

.. someone should remind Ms. Cecile that Life begins at Conception …

.. [h/t — RealClearPolitics]..
.. [link] to the interview footage …

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… Extending the Risk Corridors [ObamaCrapCare] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,February 24th,2014

.. this one is the insurer bailout provision ,folks .

.. it seems that His Lordship wants to extend it beyond 2016 …

.. with what controlling legal authority one might ask . The risk corridors program expires at the end of 2016 . So that is that …. or with this crowd , is it ? …

.. from HotAir [Allahpundit] …

White House weighing plan to extend ObamaCare’s “risk corridor,” i.e. bailout, program beyond 2016?

posted at 4:41 pm on February 18, 2014 by Allahpundit

The program’s supposed to be transitional, sunsetting in 2016 after the new exchanges have had a few years to launch and then stabilize.

Emphasis on “supposed to be.”

Industry insiders told the Washington Examiner a plan to extend the Affordable Care Act’s “risk corridors” are under discussion, but that administration officials have not made a final decision…

The Obama Administration is now weighing a plan to grant an additional three-year extension for non-complaint plans on the individual market. Such a move would prevent millions of people from losing their policies in the critical weeks and months before the 2014 election.

But it would also allow people on the individual market to keep non-compliant plans beyond the risk corridor’s 2016 expiration date, leaving health insurance companies serving the exchange vulnerable to financial losses as the more healthy customers continue to stay out of the exchanges.

Health insurance companies are looking for something in exchange for the three-year extension, which will make it much harder for them to sign up healthier and younger customers. Extending the risk corridor program is part of that conversation with the White House, industry sources said.

Remember back in November when Obama was eating truckloads of crap for breaking his “if you like your plan” promise? His solution was to let insurers “un-cancel” canceled plans — but lost in the hubbub at the time was the fact that he said he’d allow it for just one year. The obvious problem with that timeline is that it means this issue will bubble up again this fall, just in time for the midterms. New solution, then: Quietly allow insurers to keep un-canceled plans in effect past the midterms, for another three years. That’s how Obama just “solved” his little electoral problem with the employer mandate, isn’t it? Three-year extensions across the board, to minimize the damage to Democrats from his pet boondoggle in November. The problem is, because the old un-canceled plans are typically cheaper than expensive new “comprehensive” ObamaCare exchange plans, the extension means insurers are suddenly looking at less revenue than they counted on all the way through 2017. That’s where the “risk corridors” come in. Assuming the Examiner’s report is true, the White House is going to make this worth the industry’s while by extending the timeline for the bailout program too. Any losses they suffer in 2017 would, presumably, be partly offset by Uncle Sam even though the “risk corridor” is supposed to have terminated by then. Your tax dollars will buy insurers’ complicity in yet another illegal extension.

Bob Laszewski kinda sorta saw this coming, by the way. Last month he published a post arguing that, for all its faults, ObamaCare won’t cause a death spiral in the insurance industry anytime soon. The reason: The “risk corridor” program. Since Uncle Sam’s on the hook for any heavy losses in the industry, insurers are under no immediate pressure to raise premiums, the potential trigger of a death spiral. They can keep premiums artificially low — at least for a few years, until the “risk corridor” sunsets. Laszewski figured insurers would give the White House one more chance next year to get their act together on implementation and to start signing up the uninsured en masse; if they failed, he said, he expected companies to start parachuting out of the exchanges in 2016 before the “risk corridor” program expires. Which is to say, it’s very much in the White House’s interest to keep the program in effect, if it can, to keep insurers from abandoning the exchanges, especially if HHS has reason to think the risk pools they’re projecting will be less young and healthy than they had hoped. (And they do have such a reason at the moment.) The last thing Democrats need in a presidential election year is “Insurers give up on ObamaCare” headlines. Promise them some more sugar and you can avoid that. Maybe.

It seems naive at this point to ask whether the White House could extend the “risk corridor” unilaterally or whether that would be illegal. If they want to do it, they’ll do it regardless. O’s theory in issuing periodic delays or extensions for ObamaCare’s provisions is that, during the law’s transitional phase, he has some latitude legally to tweak implementation to make it go more smoothly. Extending the “risk corridors” past 2016, though, would mean the “transitional” phase had lasted past the end of his own presidency. It’s dubious, but it’s also in character. Here’s a question, though: Why would insurers leak this info now, when Marco Rubio’s trying to build support within the GOP for a bill to repeal the “risk corridor” program? He’s had little luck getting it on the leadership’s radar but his luck could change now that rumors are swirling that the bailout provisions might be extended into 2017 and beyond. The recent CBO numbers that found that the “risk corridor” could actually make money for taxpayers is a problem for the GOP, but (a) CBO’s numbers can be challenged and (b) CBO assumed that the “risk corridor” would be gone by 2016. Even if O decides to unilaterally extend the program, a new Republican Senate next year could join forces with some red-state Dems and Boehner’s House majority to repeal it, forcing Obama to either acquiesce in the repeal or to veto it and be seen as singlehandedly defending indefinite bailouts for insurers. Very strange that insurance industry sources, who stand to benefit, would be blabbing about this now.

… from the Washington Examiner [Susan Ferrechio] …

Obamacare changes may include extension of risk corridors

 Susan Ferrechio                             | FEBRUARY 17, 2014 AT 5:18 AM

The Obama Administration may extend beyond 2016 a federal reimbursement program for health insurance companies that lose money by participating in the newly created health care exchanges.

Industry insiders told the Washington Examiner a plan to extend the Affordable Care Act’s “risk corridors” are under discussion, but that administration officials have not made a final decision.

The risk corridor program was written into the 2,700-page health care bill to help the insurance companies offset losses if they enroll too few healthy customers and sign up too many people with high health care costs.

Risk corridors are aimed at keeping premiums from skyrocketing by requiring the government to “share in the risk associated with the new marketplace,” according to the health care lobbying group America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP).

Insurance companies pay into a pool to cover losses for companies that fare poorly but the federal government must step in if there is widespread loss, which some say could happen due to the lack of participation on the health care exchanges from young and healthy individuals.

The program, however is only meant to be short term, AHIP said, to “ease the transition between the old and new marketplace.”

But the disastrous rollout of the law resulted in millions of people on the individual market losing health care policies that did not include the “essential benefits” required under the new health care law, including maternity care and pediatric dentistry. The resulting public outcry prompted President Obama on Nov. 14 to announce that health insurance companies could allow customers to keep their old plans for an extra year.

The Obama Administration is now weighing a plan to grant an additional three-year extension for non-complaint plans on the individual market. Such a move would prevent millions of people from losing their policies in the critical weeks and months before the 2014 election.

But it would also allow people on the individual market to keep non-compliant plans beyond the risk corridor’s 2016 expiration date, leaving health insurance companies serving the exchange vulnerable to financial losses as the more healthy customers continue to stay out of the exchanges.

Health insurance companies are looking for something in exchange for the three-year extension, which will make it much harder for them to sign up healthier and younger customers. Extending the risk corridor program is part of that conversation with the White House, industry sources said.

“If the extension increases adverse selection, premiums will go up and taxpayers will be on the hook for more money through extending the risk corridors,” Mike Tanner, a health care policy scholar at the Cato Institute, a libertarian think tank, said. “The question is, how much? And I don’t think anybody knows because I don’t think anybody knows how many people we are talking about.”

John C. Goodman, the president and CEO of The National Center for Policy Analysis, believes insurance companies participating on the exchanges are headed for significant losses as the sickest and most medically vulnerable get dumped into the exchanges and waivers and delays are granted to the healthy.

In Detroit, for example, city officials are considering pushing onto the health care exchanges municipal retirees who are too young to qualify for Medicare.

“I can understand why they are talking about extending the risk corridors because I think the losses are going to be quite large,” Goodman said.

Health care law supporters point out that the federal government can make money off risk corridor programs. A Congressional Budget Office report last week predicted the federal government won’t lose a dime through the risk corridor program but will end up netting $8 billion.

The CBO based its estimate on the performance of risk corridors established under the Medicare Part D prescription drug benefit program passed by a Republican-led Congress and signed into law by President Bush in 2003.

“The risk corridor program was a good idea during the Bush administration, and it worked,” Rep. Elijah Cummings, D-Md., said during a recent hearing on the program. “Rather than a bailout for insurance companies, the program has resulted in $7 billion in net gains to taxpayers. But now since these same mechanisms are part of the Affordable Care Act, Republicans argue that they are a bailout for insurance companies.”

Critics in and out of Congress want legislation to repeal the risk corridors and warn that Obamacare won’t yield the same kind of results as Medicare Part D because of the much larger size and scope of the new health care law and the potential for a much larger pool of sick and unhealthy on the exchanges.

“Medicare Part D made money, but I don’t think that’s going to be true here,” said Douglas Holtz-Eakin, the former director of the Congressional Budget Office who now runs American Action Forum, which describes itself as a center-right policy institute.

Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla. has introduced legislation to repeal the risk corridor provision in the health care law, but Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., has no plans to take up the bill.

… LEC here again — no controlling legal authority …

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… Why I support Arizona ‘ s Religious Freedom Bill …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,February 24th,2014

.. and I most strongly urge Governor Jan Brewer to sign it .

..  one of the chief reason is to make sure that people get to celebrate their religious liberty — and are not forced to be compelled to produce a product or service against their will . Just because people go into business does not mean that they forfeit their constitutional rights . They still have the right to make decisions in their business based upon their religious faith and religious precepts . The First Amendment to the Constitution should still mean something in practical everyday use .

.. What is going on in New Mexico , Oregon , Washington State , and Colorado , among other states , is that each state has passed a so – called ” human rights ” law , incorporating gays and lesbians into its orbit . As a result ,  these laws have become to be used as a war club by pro gay rights activist in going after businesses that refuse to serve gays or lesbians . More often than not , this has been in the area of so – called same –  sex wedding celebrations . When the business says no service , the gay rights folks sue for discrimination . Because of this legal mess , the businesses have to pay ruinous legal fees just to have the chance to remain in business . Some cannot . An Oregon cakeshop ceased doing business in the normal fashion , the  owners retreating to their home as a home – based business as a result . How sad , and how outrageous .

.. Activist judges have been taking the law into their own hands , such as with gay and lesbian rights . These anarchist judges have pushed the envelope far , far ahead of things than many of us in society want to happen or expect to  happen . Yet , they still do this . What are these folks doing , casting tiddly winks ? Hardly . They are making law from the bench ,  which is not their job .

.. In addition , interest groups and others are using two laws , one well known (section 1983 of the Civil Rights Act) and one unknown (the Civil Rights Attorney Fees Act of 1976) to bash so many folks over the head with a billy club . These loonie – toons practice what is known as lawfare , using the threat of ruinous legal fees , plus the payment of the plaintiff ‘ s judgement and legal fees , in order to compel a settlement . Nowadays , this weapon is being turned potentially against churches ….

.. Arizona undoubtedly has a law like this . They have seen what has been going on in neighboring states , including the Elaine Photography case in New Mexico . The dilemma in Arizona that the lawmakers have to think about is this : Should someone be compelled to produce a product or service for something that they do not support (such as same – sex weddings ,  same – sex adoptions , you get the idea) as in the Elaine Photography case , based upon sound religious reasons ,  in violation of their First Amendment rights to freedom of religion and religious practice ?

.. I say no . These states are pushing the acceptance of same – sex acts on at times an unwilling populace . If people are not comfortable doing so , and it is because of religion and religious faith , then they should not be forced into an accomodation with others . Also , the state is forcing ” compelled speech ” by doing this . Doing such a thing is in gross violation of the First Amendment rights of the defendants . Also , the interest groups make it all but impossible for folks to defend themselves because of their lawfare strategy . Giving people their religious rights once again gives them the chance to defend themselves .

.. this bill has been proposed in Ohio , I believe . The legislature can pass it , because the votes are easily there [61-38 in the State House , 23 – 10 in the State Senate] . The big question is Governor Kasich . This year is an election year , and he is on  the ballot . He probably does not want to give gays and lesbians any ” bulletin board ” material with which to play with on the political trail .

.. Ohio is an initiative and referendum state . Yes , that means gays and lesbians could mount a issue campaign to put the bill before voters . However , if the bill is approved with 3/5ths support [60 in the House , 20 in the Senate] , then no campaign is allowed . The bill would be considered an ” emergency , ” and would take effect immediately ..

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… Nice Going , Your Lordship [Obama] [on ObamaCrapCare] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,February 7th,2014

.. you have always accepted the Congressional Budget Office as an impartial arbiter of the budgetary impact of your ObamaCrapCare policy . Well , they have come out with an up-to-date report , and it is not good , [link] …

.. these changes that have been put into effect by ObamaCrapCare are having a drastic effect on the private sector . According to the C.B.O. , these policy changes are causing up to (or will cause) 2.5 million jobs to be eliminated over the next ten years [at a minimum] . That is at a minimum , to be honest .

.. Given the forecast methods and models of the C.B.O. , I am betting that these numbers have been drastically underestimated . The C.B.O. uses Static Revenue Analysis in its modeling . Any competent economist in a case like this would use Dynamic Revenue Analysis . When they do , the impact is likely to rise by quite a bit …

.. just to check , that is 2.5 million jobs over a ten year period … roughly 250,000 jobs a year , or 20k jobs a month … that is not an insignificant impact …

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… Cover Oregon is a Disgrace …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,February 6th,2014

.. and it is going to cause all sorts of trouble in the [ ] State .

.. [h/t — theWeeklyStandard] ..

.. [link] to the KATU news report …

.. Oregon is , of course , light Blue . Both U.S. Senators are DemoCraps , 4 of the 5 Congresscritters are Dems , John Kitzhaber [himself a Dr] is a DemGovernor , and the legislature is controlled by the Dems . Things are far from hopeless for the GOP , however .

.. John Kitzhaber (the Dem Gov) is on the ballot and is running for re – election . He faces very fierce opposition , becuase four years ago , he was elected with barely 50% of the vote against a little known GOPer [retired NBA star Chris Dudley] . Not sure if Duds is back , but the Cover Oregon debacle has Kitz on the hot seat , with the heat turned up to White Hot . Which is as hot as it gets . My guess is that this colossal mess will make Kitz a sure loser in November …

.. Kitz going down will drag other Dems with him . Not the congressccritters , though . Only 2 of the other 4 House Dem races are competitive . The Oregon legistlature is another matter . So is Jeff Merkely . Ron Wyden is a wily leg vet , but he is thankful that he is not on the ballot . However , Merkely is , and he is a freshman up for his first re – election . Without His Lordship [POTUS] protecting his back , I believe Merkely will come into big trouble come summertime , espc as it becomes known that Kitz is going down . Then , the legislature ..

.. The legislature is competitive , much more so than most people realize . The numbers are : State House , 26 R , 34 D ;  State Senate , 14 R , 16 D . So , one chamber , the other , or both could flip with a big enough wave . The possibility is that the Oregon Senate will flip . The Oregon House is another matter . His Lordship is not on the ballot , and Kitzhaber is , which will make for a very interesting couple of days after election day .

— note — Oregon conducts its elections entirely by mail . So the news of who wins and who controls may not be known until a couple of days after Election Day ..

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… POTUS needs to be held to Account …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,February 4th,2014

.. to say the least .

.. he has gotten away with bloody murder on his failure to “faithfully execute the laws . ” Hey , folks , it is in the Constitution , folks .

.. If W. had done what Obama has been doing , the DummyCraps would be , and with good reason , for his impeachment . the GOP should think hard , and I mean really hard , about seeking Obama ‘ s given his actions ..

.. [h/t — NationalReview]

.. [link] to the video clip —  It seems that Dr. Charles Krauthammer agrees with me …

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