Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘Quantitative Easing’

… Janet Yellen ‘ s Fed Nomination is …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,October 10th,2013

.. an absolute disaster . Clear and Simple …

.. Now that Janet Yellen has been named to lead the Federal Reserve , the global financial markets should factor out any possibility that the Fed will diminish their Quantitative Easing program anytime during her tenure . In fact , financial forecasts should assume that not only is a taper off the table, but that the QE program is now more likely to be perpetuated and expanded . That fact is in and of itself a disaster .

.. Unlike her predecessors,  Janet Yellen has never had a youthful dalliance with hawkish monetary ideas. Before taking charge of

In 1935, Cret designed the Seal of the Board o...

In 1935, Cret designed the Seal of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

the Fed both Alan Greenspan , and to a lesser extent Ben Bernanke , had advocated for the benefits of a strong currency and low inflation . Both had warned of the dangers of overly accommodative policy and unnecessary stimulus. (Both largely abandoned these ideals once they took the reins of power , but their urge to stimulate may have been restrained by a vestigial bias against the excesses of Keynesianism). Janet Yellen , who has been on the liberal/dovish end of the monetary spectrum for her entire professional career, has no such baggage. As a result, we can expect her to never waver in her belief that stimulus is the answer to every economic question . When it is not .

.. Private Sector “stimulus” is the answer to our problems ; government “stimulus is not . Government stimulus means more taxation , more spending , more debt , and a fiscal disaster . Private sector “stimulus,” ie , a favourable investment climate , more favourable tax rates , and lower taxes , is what is needed most of all . The geniuses like Yellen think jobs can be invented out of whole cloth . It does not work that way . You will get demand , but you must have a strong currency ,  and supply – side investment incentives . The Keynesians have had their day . Their arguments have been a failure ,  every time they have they have been tried .

.. You look at things now , and we are somewhat lucky . Things overseas are much worse …

.. The Federal Reserve was originally charged with the single mandate of maintaining price stability . Along with it comes the stability of the financial system , and of the currency . Unfortunately , then came Humphrey – Hawkins Full Employment Act in 1977 . In recent decades that mission evolved into a dual mandate of seeking price stability and full employment . Eventually , H – H will have to go . Once it does , then the Fed can dip its toe (sometimes) into the arena of economic management . It does has some levers , but that stuff is best left to the remainder of the Government …

.. I believe that a Yellen – led Fed will return once again to a single mandate , but it will now focus only on employment . That could not be more wrong . Worse yet , it can and will be dangerous . Based on her clear beliefs in the ability of dovish monetary policy to relive human suffering she will be inclined to dig in her heels into the ongoing QE program more than anyone else President Obama may have appointed . This is terrible news for the U.S. dollar and the U.S. economy.

.. For now at least the crisis in Washington has squelched any immediate discussion of a taper in the remaining months of 2013. Any predictions that a Yellen-led Fed will somehow show more resolve towards responsibility in 2014 or 2015 should be looked at as delusional . Unfortunately , it will take a Burns – type collapse to get rid of her (with her resignation) ,  and then a Republican President can appoint a hard money hardcase to clean up the mess  …

Advertisements

Posted in economic opinion, financial opinion, personal opinion | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

… I Disagree . It is not the Fed ‘ s Job to Worry about Whether the Economy is Strong Enough …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,August 17th,2013

.. The Federal Reserve cannot totally ignore what is going on in the economy . Howevery , they have to safeguard the system , not micromanage it .

.. The Federal Reserve ‘ s tasks are multi – faceted . Yes , they have to think about what is going on in the economy . It is , however , not the primary or principal job . They need to safeguard the stability and sanity of the system , namely the finanicail system itself .

.. They deal primarily with monetary policy . They focus on the means of exchange (gold , sometimes , most often , the currency) , ie, the dollar , and how the system operater. They can fine – tune the system , or tinker with it . They do have some say – so in fiscal policy . However , fiscal policy is the principal province of POTUS and Congress . The Fed can sometimes anticipate what they may or may not do , but they should not have to take the lead . When they do , it means the principal actors have failed at their job .

.. What caused me to comment on this is this article for moneynews.com . One of their commentators , Joel Naroff , does not think that the economy is strong enough for the economy to take “tapering” of Quantitative Easing . To Be honest , whether it is or not is not their concern . Whether QE is complete is the prime concern .

Posted in financial opinion, personal opinion | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »