Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘poll’

… Joni surges Ahead [#IA US Senate]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,October 4th,2014

.. Go , Joni , Go !! …

.. you bet I want Joni Ernst to win . She has run a fabulous campaign campaign . She has received some fairly lucky breaks , which always helps . Also , Terry Branstad running [likely a success] for re-election is a very huge help for her campaign …

.. [h/t — McClatchyDC.com]..
.. [link] to the news story ..

.. having a royal screw – up for an opponent is even better . He opponent , Iowa congresscritter Bruce Braley has run a disaster for a campaign . Even worse , he has made several ill – timed mega – gaffes at several critical points in the campaign …

.. now , Joni leads bruce 44% to 38% , with an independent [left – leaning] with 6% , and 12% undecided . That is good . Braley is an incumbent , so the pressure is on him , not her . Also , with the left – leaner in the race , it hurts Braley …

.. so , Joni only needs to get to 48% (or better) to get clear of Braley for good . There is still work to do , though , and the debate season is now upon us …

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… More Good Campaign News [#Fla Governor]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,September 27th,2014

.. finally , Rick Scott is getting some decent payoff for his hard work and efforts …

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign poll result …

.. Scott now leads republican traitor – turned – DemoCrap Charlie Crist , 45% to 39% , with two other candidates with 5% , and 11% undecided …

.. yes , Rick Scott has work to do . But with the two extra candidates in the race , the usual 50% ceiling is more like a 48% to 47% ceiling . Breaking through that level , especially after all of the hard work that he has done on the airwaves and the campaign trail , seems now to be eminently doable …

.. still remember , run an error – free campaign . Which , so far , Scott has done . The debates are still to come , but Scott has the initiative …. and the record …. he can go after Crist hard ….

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… Big Surprise in CO [Governor ‘ s Race] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,September 24th,2014

.. I will grant you , it is the Quinnipiac University poll …

.. the Q U polls are notorious for being Demo-Crap leaning . So take it with a grain of salt , or two …. but , …

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com]..
.. [link] to the campaign poll …

.. Bob Beauprez is now up on Gov. John Hickenweenie , 50% to 42% , with 8% undecided …

.. Beauprez is running a lights – out fantastic campaign , and he is really working his butt off . It does not guarantee victory , but that kind of effort really helps …

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… Interesting Poll Results — in Illinois [#you bet!]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,September 11th,2014

.. no , this is not an outlier , nor is it a joke .

.. Illinois Governor Pat Quinn is in big trouble .

.. Bruce Rauner has not won the race . But , his message is getting through to Illinois voters , and that has to scare the hell out of DemoCraps nationwide . Because , if it will sell in Illinois , boy , it will sell elsewhere in the good ol ‘ U.S.A. …

.. [h/t — politics.SunTimes.com]..
.. [link] to the news article ..

.. Basically , Rauner is leading Quinn , 47 % to 34 % . Ouch . Illinois voters are not entierely sold on Rauner ‘ s economic plan . But , they are much more willing to give Rauner a fighting chance to give his plan a chance to work . Which also means his potentioal victory , if it happens , could have some serious coattails …

.. the Illinois legislature is , as one would think , controlled by the DemoCraps . It is 40 to 19 in the State Senate [one – half of seats up] , and it is 71 to 48 in the State House [all seats up] …. the Senate would likely not swing , but the State House is different …. Also , a number of moderate Democrats could be persuaded to switch parties . It has happened else , so why not Illinois …

.. with the State Senate , it depends on what seats that are up . The Illinois House is a different matter . Things got realclose after 2010 , but then came redistrictiong , and now the current advantage . A large victory , combined with a swing in one or both chambers would be of huge help to a Gov Rauner …

.. Rauner is no moderate . He is definitely a conservative . Not quite a TEa Partier , though . Conservative in Illinois is more than good enough …

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… Ohio Political News [#Ohio Governor]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,August 4th,2014

.. nothing major in the Senate , at least this year …

.. the state – wide races are the ones that are up . Most of the DemoCraps are little – known weenies , ones who will rise or fall with the fate of their top – of – the – ticket Governor ‘ s candidate …

.. right now , it looks real bad for the Dems …

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview//Campaign-Spot]..
.. [link] to the campaign news …

.. remember , this is from Quinnipiac University [New York] . So , it is a DemoCrap – leaning poll …

.. John Kasich is leading Cuyahoga Cty Exec Ed Fitzgerald 51% to 36% … The internals in the poll are worse …. Much worse … Kasich is up big on independents , and is doing better among Dems than this poll will admit . Also , Kasich is leading by 2% among women , which is disastrous for a DemoCrap [meaning Fitzgerald]…

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… Uh – Oh [Good News for Monica Wehby in Oregon] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Sunday,May 4th,2014

.. she is doing very nicely , thank you ..

.. a couple of weeks ago , she was trailing by 12 points . Now , she leads , but inside the margin of error ..

.. [h/t — hotair.com]..
.. [link] to the blog news ..

.. it is now the danger zone for the incumbent . Not only is Jeff Merkely tied to a colossal mess in the CoverOregon debacle , not only is he below the 50% threshhold , he is down towards the 40.0% threshhold , and that is among registered voters

.. Ouch ! ..

.. there are 14% of the voters that are undecided , and nearly 18.0% of female voters . Jeff Merkely is not yet a Dead Man Walking , but he is in some very , very , very serious political hot water …

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