Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘miscalculation’

… the Russians are Playing a Very dangerous Game [#military bluff]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,August 22nd,2016

.. and so is POTUS ..

.. the Russians perceive weakness . They smell weakness in our POTUS . So , they are going to try and see what they think that they can get away with while Obama is still in office . Which can be very dangerous …

.. [h/t — theRightScoop.com]..
.. [link] to the CNN news report …

.. weakness shows danger . It also can beget miscalculation . If one side or the other is not very , very careful , then there can be , at the very least , a diplomatic incident . It could be worse , though … Much worse …

.. it could lead [however accidently] to war …

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… Would Vlad the Imperialist be That Crazy ?? [#attacking Ukraine]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,June 1st,2016

.. even given the political chaos in Kiev , Ukraine ‘ s military has proven to be no soft touch …

.. so far , Ukraine ‘ Army has fought very effectively and quickly to retake rebel – held lands in the east . The rebels have fought very poorly , and even the Russian – speaking areas have not exactly taken to the rebels . So what may happen next ? …

.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the blog news …

.. a good bit of the calculation comes from how Putin thinks about POTUS . The Europeans are , for the most part , very weak . They have denuded their defenses , and are also heavily dependent on Russian gas and oil . So , other than the U.K. and France , most of Europe is no big whoopee … the U.S. is another matter …

.. it is not the U.S. military that worries Putin . He knows that Russia is militarily no match for the U.S. . However , geopolitically , Obama is no match for Putin . That is the danger of miscalculation …

.. Putin has to be very careful . The danger of a miscalculation is ever – present . If he goof , there could be a war …. and military confrontation ….

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… Why Russia Treats Us with Contempt [#military provocation]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,May 19th,2016

.. why would the Russians do something so extraordinarily risky . They are making increasingly dangerous military provocations with US military units [the Air Force , the Navy , in particular] ?? ..

.. one message is being sent to Washington , D.C. . It is a clear political message being sent to the ObamaCrap Admininstration [in general] , and Barack Obama in particular . We hold you in such contempt that we do not fear you , not one bit . That is a dangerous message ..

.. another message is being sent to U.S. allies in Europe and Asia . You see the contempt with which we hold America . The U.S. will not act to defend its interests . So who will step up to defend you ..

.. [h/t — NYPost.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post ..

.. the big problem ? The grievous risk of miscalculation . Remember how World War II got started in Europe ? Nazi Germany miscalculated when they subdivided Poland with the Russians , and Britain and France went to war . So another world war could easily get started if we are not careful …

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… The Russians couldn’t be This Stupid [#Ukraine]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,February 27th,2016

.. except , this time , it would be Britain , France , and Germany guaranteeing Poland ‘ s security …

.. [h/t — HotAir.com]..
.. [link] to the column …

.. the argument is that Putin ‘ s calculations (even if nuts) would be to move with military moves against the Baltic states , the ‘ Stans , and the rest of Ukraine …

.. but with nukes ?? …

.. that would be nuts …

.. and would thrust all of us [the U.S. included] towards a nuclear abyss …

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… Hamas has made a Strategic Miscaculation …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,July 19th,2014

.. Benjamin Netanyahu is not Ariel Sharon ..

.. however , Netanyahu is also not Ehud Olmert …

.. [h/t — Debka.com]..
.. [link] to the intel report …

.. PM Netanyahu knows that this is only a preliminary round . Hezbollah is next . Then , Iran …

.. the question is , whether someone is going to intervene on Hamas ‘ behalf . Our Congress won’t . Obama might want to , but not with the spotlight on . He is too big a wuss …

.. Egypt is under new mgmt. . El – Sisi is an army general , like Sadat & Mubarak . He is also no wuss . After a year – plus of the Morsi ” regime , ” he understands the score . He also knows that our Congress will override Obama if he tries to cut-off Egypt …

.. ditto the Gulf nations . They are likely already in the business of constructing their nuclear programs , already . Egypt , too . They do not want to use the nukes on Israel . They can live with the Israelis . it is the radical Shiite Persians [the Mullahs in Qum , iran] that are the problem …

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… In Order to Make the Other Guy Blink …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Wednesday,April 2nd,2014

.. you have to make the other guy think …. and think seriously ..

.. he (or she) has to take you seriously . They cannot call your bluff . They still might do so anyway . However , they have to understand that your ” Red Line ” really means something ….

.. [h/t — NationalReview]..
.. [link] to Dr. Krauthammer ‘ s commentary …

.. miscalculations are dangerous for everyone . World War II got started that way . Adolph Hitler did not believe in the guarantees that Britain and France had extended to Poland . Hitler thought that it was a bluff , and attacked Poland . Britain and France thus went to war with Germany , and the rest , as we say , is history …

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… Russia and the Crimea …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,March 18th,2014

.. well , the Crimeans have ” voted ” …

.. amazingly , 95 % of them voted for ” independence . ”

.. well , anyone with a brain knows what that means . the Crimea region will likely soon join Russia .

.. to me , that will not be a big shock . The question is , what will Putin do next ? and What will His Lordship do (or not do) ? …

.. one has to be very very careful . Miscalculaton can very quickly lead to confrontation , and , then eventually to War …

.. it may not even be in Europe . But , even with their military weakness , and relative economic weakness , Russia is still an adult at the ” table ” that has to be dealt with in a firm manner . Otherwise , ….

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… It tells You even More [about POTUS] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,March 7th,2014

.. this segment is from The Lead [on CNN] with Jake Tapper …

.. what are these idiots in the ObamaCrap White House doing ? What are they thinking ? What are they actually going to do about it ? …

.. [h/t — RealClearPolitics]..
.. [link] to the commentary …

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