Lake Erie Conservative

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Posts Tagged ‘mary Taylor’

… The Way Things are Going in Ohio [#Elections 2014]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,October 28th,2014

.. I think that I can safely make my predictitons , now …

.. [-] Governor & Lt. Governor — John Kasich and Mary Taylor

This will set Kasich up to be a presidential contender , that is , if he really wants to do so . There is some question whether he really does or not . Taylor , well , she could emerge as a candidate for Governor in 2018 . She will be one of many , especially from a deep GOP bench …

.. [-] Treasurer — Josh Mandel

Mandel could be setting himself up for a rematch with US Senator Sherrod Brown in 2018 . Then , Brown will be forced to run in an off – year election , and without presidential support on the ballot . A matchup like that favours Mandel , especially coming out of NE Ohio …

A Republican coming out of NE Ohio [Mandel] is huge trouble for the DemoCraps . Their margin out of Cuyahoga County is usually cut drastically , and the surrounding counties are much larger [Lake , Lorain , Geauga , Summit , & Medina] and far more GOP – friendly …

.. [-] Auditor — Dave Yost

Yost may end up going for either AG or for Treasurer . Not sure , do not know him all that well …

.. [-] Secretary of State — Jon Husted

good question on his future prospects . May want to try for Governor or Lt. Governor , maybe AG …

.. [-] Congress

currently — 12 GOP , 4 DemoCrap …

the only district that might have a chance of flipping is the downstate one around Columbus , the one that is currently held by Congresscritter Joyce Beatty . it is only a minority – influence district [about 32% black] , and is surrounded by heavily GOP – friendly turf …

.. [-] State House

currently — 60 GOP , 39 DemoCrap ..

the GOP should add seats . The only question is how many ? I am thinking 3 to 5 , maybe even 6 . Such a total [63 to 66] would be devastating for the Dems . Here is why :

[1] it takes a 3/5 majority to override a Governor ‘ s veto . A legislature that is fe3ling its oats could buck the Gov and jam though legislation of its liking …

[2] social or business legislation can be tacked onto the new [or a revision] budget bill . Any budget bill adopted with a 3/5ths vote cannot be repealed by a referendum or initiative (as Senate Bill 5 was)…

[3] also , a regular bill adopted with a 3/5ths vote of both chambers takes effect immediately . It too cannot also be repealed by referendum …

.. [-] State Senate

currently — 23 GOP , 10 DemoCrap …

it is kinda hard for the GOP to add any seats . They control pretty much every seat that they can . However , there are 1 or 2 marginal Dem seats that can be picked off in an off – year election . I think that the GOP will grab one of them , maybe both ….

.. so , you see what I think . The DemoCraps are trying . The Downballots [SecState , AG , Auditor] are advertising , but that will not be of much help . The Governor candidate for the DemoCraps [Ed Fitzgerald] has not aired one TV ad …

.. not One . That is a prescription for a mega – blowout , folks . How big ? maybe 15% in margin , possibly 20% , or more ….

.. we will see ….

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