Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘Lieutenant Governor’

… Elections Disaster in Nevada [#statewide] …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Sunday,November 2nd,2014

.. the figures like this [42% GOP , 41% Dem , 17% other] are an abject disaster for the DemoCraps ….

.. unlike many states , Nevada does have statewide elections for this year . They have the full smack : Treasurer , Auditor , AG , Lieutenant Gov [elected separate] , Governor …

.. also , the legislature , which for a state of its size that is still growing like crazy , is fairly narrowly divided …

.. Brian Sandoval (former federal district judge , latino , businessman , current governor) …. is going to win re – election . He is evidently pulling the GOP vote along with him ….

.. [h/t — m.NationalReview.com(CampaignSpot)]..
.. [link] to the campaign news …

.. Sandoval will win re – election in a walk . He may well pull in other GOP statewide elected officeholders along with him . That will help come 2016 , when there is the likely heavyweight bout with Dingy Harry Reid for his US Senate Seat …. it will be a lot easier for Sandoval to run , with a GOP L.G. ….

.. also , a DemoCrap sitout will hit the legislature … the Nevade Senate is only 11 to 10 DemoCrap , so it may well flip … the Nevada House is 26 to 16 Dem , so it would take a 6 seat gain for the GOP to take control …

.. the Nevada Senate should flip , and the Nevada House just might …

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… The Way Things are Going in Ohio [#Elections 2014]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,October 28th,2014

.. I think that I can safely make my predictitons , now …

.. [-] Governor & Lt. Governor — John Kasich and Mary Taylor

This will set Kasich up to be a presidential contender , that is , if he really wants to do so . There is some question whether he really does or not . Taylor , well , she could emerge as a candidate for Governor in 2018 . She will be one of many , especially from a deep GOP bench …

.. [-] Treasurer — Josh Mandel

Mandel could be setting himself up for a rematch with US Senator Sherrod Brown in 2018 . Then , Brown will be forced to run in an off – year election , and without presidential support on the ballot . A matchup like that favours Mandel , especially coming out of NE Ohio …

A Republican coming out of NE Ohio [Mandel] is huge trouble for the DemoCraps . Their margin out of Cuyahoga County is usually cut drastically , and the surrounding counties are much larger [Lake , Lorain , Geauga , Summit , & Medina] and far more GOP – friendly …

.. [-] Auditor — Dave Yost

Yost may end up going for either AG or for Treasurer . Not sure , do not know him all that well …

.. [-] Secretary of State — Jon Husted

good question on his future prospects . May want to try for Governor or Lt. Governor , maybe AG …

.. [-] Congress

currently — 12 GOP , 4 DemoCrap …

the only district that might have a chance of flipping is the downstate one around Columbus , the one that is currently held by Congresscritter Joyce Beatty . it is only a minority – influence district [about 32% black] , and is surrounded by heavily GOP – friendly turf …

.. [-] State House

currently — 60 GOP , 39 DemoCrap ..

the GOP should add seats . The only question is how many ? I am thinking 3 to 5 , maybe even 6 . Such a total [63 to 66] would be devastating for the Dems . Here is why :

[1] it takes a 3/5 majority to override a Governor ‘ s veto . A legislature that is fe3ling its oats could buck the Gov and jam though legislation of its liking …

[2] social or business legislation can be tacked onto the new [or a revision] budget bill . Any budget bill adopted with a 3/5ths vote cannot be repealed by a referendum or initiative (as Senate Bill 5 was)…

[3] also , a regular bill adopted with a 3/5ths vote of both chambers takes effect immediately . It too cannot also be repealed by referendum …

.. [-] State Senate

currently — 23 GOP , 10 DemoCrap …

it is kinda hard for the GOP to add any seats . They control pretty much every seat that they can . However , there are 1 or 2 marginal Dem seats that can be picked off in an off – year election . I think that the GOP will grab one of them , maybe both ….

.. so , you see what I think . The DemoCraps are trying . The Downballots [SecState , AG , Auditor] are advertising , but that will not be of much help . The Governor candidate for the DemoCraps [Ed Fitzgerald] has not aired one TV ad …

.. not One . That is a prescription for a mega – blowout , folks . How big ? maybe 15% in margin , possibly 20% , or more ….

.. we will see ….

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… What Happens to the Senate Seat in New Jersey ?? …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Tuesday,June 4th,2013

.. the appointment in almost every state , save Oregon , is made by the Governor . Which means Governor Chris Christie [R-NJ] . Which presents the state , and Christie ,   with an interesting situation …

when is the special election ..

.. likely 2014 . Normally , the next general election is the Governor ‘ s election , this fall . However , it is the next FEDERAL general

Governor of New Jersey at a town hall in Hills...

Governor Chris Christie (R-NJ)

election to which this applies .So , who ever is appointed will not have to appear on a ballot for about 17 months .

Who makes the appointment ?

.. Christie .

How long does the new Senator serve ?

.. if there is more than two years left in the term , there is a special election held to fill out the remainder of the term . If there is less , then the appointee serves until the next general election for the seat .

Which is ? …

.. until the November election in 2014 , and once those results are certified . If the appointee does not run , the candidate who is elected immediately takes office .

Who ?

.. most likely , a Republican . Who knows ? I do not know New Jersey politics all that well , so a guess would be state Sen Thomas Kean , Jr (R) , the Lieutenant Governor  , Kim Guadagno , or state Senator Joe Kyrillos (R) , a recent GOP candidate for the other Senate Seat

against now discredited Dem Robert Menendez .

.. I have to admit , that it might be possible that Governor Christie just might appoint Newark mayor and (D) Cory Booker to the seat . The odds are not good , but it is possible . New Jersey is a light Blue state , but a Republican can win there , including conservatives , provided they run smart races , and are well – financed . One thing  about competing against Frankie Boy was that he was a hypocritical rich liberal . He derived much of his fortune from having helped found ADP , Inc . That , and the costs of dealing with the Dem machines in NJ counties , and also the New York City and Philadelphia media markets , make $$ a big necessity .

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