Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

Posts Tagged ‘coalition’

… Wow , that did not take Long [#Israel Government]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Saturday,March 28th,2015

.. well , it looks like PM Bibi was definitely thinking ahead .

.. today came the news that Netanyahu has already secured the majority support that he needs in order to form a new government . It appears to be a fairly strong one at that …

.. [h/t — Politico.com]..
.. [link] to the blog news article ..

.. Netanyahu ‘ s coalition appears to have moderates , as well as the requisite conservatives and ultra – Orthodox . It also gives him a significant margin of safety , in case one of the parties wants to take a walk . A coalition of 68 is good , but a coalition of 72 or 73 would be better …

.. as to Labour [and Issac Hertzog] . PM Bibi could well form a ” national government . ” That one could include the current case , in addition to Labour . Bibi could offer a siginifcant posting , such as the Foreign Ministry , to Hertzog . Such a move would be daring [and more moderate] . It would also be scary …

.. why ? because he would be thinking ahead to possible military action against Iran . A national government would be very helpful , with his political ” enemies ” inside the tent , instead of outside of it …

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… The Impact of the israeli Election [#Bibi]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Friday,March 20th,2015

.. Bibi will likely be returned to power .

.. however , it is fairly clear that he has had his time in Israeli politics . He is likely to be serving his last term in office …

.. the question is what type of coalition :

.. [h/t — Breitbart.com]..
.. [link] to the blog post news ..

.. one , a narrow conservative coalition . It would not be all that stable , and would be vulnerable to blackmail by factions …

.. two , a grand coalition with Bibi as PM , but with labour providing the parliamentary strength , in numbers . this one would be much closer to a national overnment , especially if Bibi [and Herzog] have an attack on iran in mind . Any assault on Iran is going to draw in the U.S. , and they have to know that …

.. a ” grand coalition ” would also limit likud ‘ s policy manuveuring . In order to entice Labour , Likud would have to make some policy concessions . Some they would be able to make , others they would not be to threilled about making …

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… Uh Oh Rahm [#runoff in Chicago]…

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,March 5th,2015

.. whoops ! …

.. you would figure that his royal highness would be a shoo – in for re – election as Mayor of Chicago . It is not as if that he has done a good job . He has not really done a good job at all . But his chief competition , Chicago Teachers Union leader Karen Lewis , is seriously ill , and did not run . So , Rahm should have won in a walk , Right ?! …

.. [h/t — spectator.org]..
.. [link] to the blog post …

.. Wrong ! …

.. as it is , Mayor Rahm faces a real problem in Cook Cty Commissioner Jesus [Chuy] Garcia . Garcia is no real bright light bulb , but Latinos are a growing part of the electorate , displacing blacks …

.. many are Dems , but only a bare majority . Some are independents , and a siginifican minority are in the GOP . So Rahm has a serious problem , especially for Chicago . How to assemble a winning coalition ??…

.. it will not be that easy …

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… Angela Merkel wins re – election in Germany …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Monday,September 23rd,2013

.. interesting result , to say the least .

.. you may ask , why ?

.. Germany is Europe ‘ s power engine . Merkel is , at least for now , Germany ‘ s unchallenged leader . No one else even comes

Angela Merkel September 2010

Angela Merkel September 2010 (Photo credit: Wikipedia)

close . No one else in any of of the other parties comes anywhere close to matching her in stature , or in policy . She may not be the idea machine that Maggie Thatcher was , but she is no dim bulb . She knows what she does , and what she does not , and is very will to seek out advice from other quarters , when she needs to ..

.. Her party coalition is made up of two parties . One is the mainline Christian Democratic Union . The other is the Bavaria – based Christian Social Union . Basically , they are one and the same . The two [ the Christian Democratic Union (C.D.U.), with its Bavarian sister party , the Christian Social Union (C.S.U.)] came very close to gaining an absolute majority in the German parliament , or Bundestag . This has not been done since 1957 , in the West German days under Konrad Adenauer .

.. Her normal coalition partners were not so lucky . The Free Democrats (the F.D.U.) were , in effect , shut out of the Bundestag in this election . They only achieved 4.8% of the vote . In Germany , you need 5.0% of the vote for your party to have representation in the Bundestag . Well , the anti – euro Alternative fur Germany (AfD) fell short , as well , at 4.7% of the national vote , so they will not be in the parliament , either . However , for their first time out , that share of the vote is not a bad result .

.. The Left in Germany had a very bad night . Amazingly enough , the loonie (far) left did all right . Both of the loonie left parties [the Greens and die Linke (the Link)] achived about 8.0 to 8.5% of the vote . The mainline left (the Social Democrats) were not so lucky . Their vote declined from the last election , to about 25.5% . The bigger problem was perception . The Social Democrats lost , and lost big , to the C.D.U. by nearly 17.0% . That hurts . The current party leadership will , in all likelyhood , have to stand down , in favour of fresh blood . What they have been doing has not worked , and they need to change …

.. So what happens next ? Merkel will be able to ease up on her austerity policy , at least somewhat . The immediate crisis has abated , but Greece and Cyprus are still the problem children . Cryprus is so small , and the Russian investors will take flight , so the Cypriots will likely be able to stay in the Euro . Not so for the Greeks . It is only a matter of time before Greece is given a stark choice , and Germany will have the whip hand .

.. Merkel ‘ s hand will be strengthened otherwise . Her power , relative to France will be much greater . Francois Hollande has proven to be a total screwup , and his Socialists are not a whole lot better . Hollande had better hope that France does not have legislative elections anytime soon , or …..

.. There are also more conservative governments in Europe . Right now , Britain is governed by a coalition , but at the next elections , the Tories , along with the UKIP , are likely to win an absolute majority . Norway is under new management , and so is Spain ….

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