Lake Erie Conservative

thoughtful discussion(s) about issue(s)

… Political News on the Economy …

Posted by paulfromwloh on Thursday,September 19th,2013

.. At least , in 2014 , there is likely to be good news on the political front . Falling poll ratings and the perceptions of weakness in POTUS mean that there is going to be a limit to what he may well be able to get from the Hill . The continuing falling of the economy , while bad for POTUS , is probably going to be better news for the GOP .

.. The GOP may well want to repeal ObamaCrapCare . They will try , but they will keep the government open . POTUS will try to play games , and possibly try to pull off a temporary government shutdown . Considering his ego , and his big mouth , his tactic will backfire . At least , the sequester should likely remain in place , and continue to increase in amount . If the GOP plays its cards right in the debt limit fight , it may well get some added budget cuts . Possible , maybe even probable , but not necessarily definite .

.. The Dems are in deep trouble . They have a deeply unpopular President tied around their collective necks , and they know it . They may want to regain control of the House , but they should forget it . They are going to get hammered on the economy , and any and all kinks in O.C.C. are going to get blamed on them , not the GOP .

.. Obama  ‘ s sliding poll ratings make things incredibly difficult for the Dems . Pelosi is an incompentent twit . She is stuck (permanently) in fantasyland . Thankfully , even if lightening struck , and the DemoCraps regained control of the House , she would not be Speaker . Thank God , that is not going to happen  . At best , the DemoCraps will gain a few seats . If the elections were held now , they would get blown out again , and lose more than a dozen or more seats . The real danger for them is the Senate .

.. The Dems are in deep ,  deep trouble in the Senate . Important members of the Dem caucus (Carl Levin , Jay Rockefeller , and Max Baucus) are retiring , and in 3 of the 4 cases , the seats are likely to fall to the GOP . The GOP candidate recruitment this time around , so far , is far better , and the knucklehead factor is being held down . Other narrowly won seats , such as AK and AR are in deep trouble , and are also likely to fall to the GOP . Mary Landrieux is one of the few Dems running in Red States that has a decent chance of holding on . The political dynamic in Louisiana has changed quite a bit , as one can see by the political switch by State Senator Elbert Guillory (R-La) .

.. Blacks will still vote Democratic , but in not quite such large numbers . There is quite a bit of disappointment in the Black Community over Obama and his lack of production , and the historical factor is passing from the scene . It does not mean that Blacks will change sides all of a sudden , but a change of even a couple of percentage points will make a big , big difference .

..  What might shock people is if there is even a bigger break than that . It is more likely to happen , slowly ,  in the Jewish community . The demographics of conservative and orthodox Jews is in the GOP ‘ s favour , but it will take  time . The Latino community is more promising . Latinos have much more in common with the GOP than they do with the DemoCraps . It will take time , effort , and expense , but Latinos can and will listen to reason . Latinos do value their vote and their citizenship , since , for them , it was much harder for them to gain access to it and achieve it . They will not come over easy , but the demagogery of the DemoCraps will wear off over time .

.. Congress is not a lot better . At least , control of the U.S. Senate is likely to shift , either in 2014 (with the DemoCraps getting their butts kicked) , or in 2016 (when all of the Dems are swept out of the Door , and adult attention and leadership in the person of the GOP returns to town . In the interim , the change in the Senate will mean a fair bit of substantial change in tax policy . Orrin Hatch is a conservative ‘ s conservative , and is likely to be a dynamic leader of the Senate Finance Committee . It will also let POTUS know that there will be no more tax increases coming out of Crapitol Hill .
POTUS may want them , but by then , he will know that he will not get them .

.. Also , 2014 will see an increase in GOP govenors . Not much , but there will be a differeent cast of characters at the state level . The GOP is likely to see a marked increase in state legislators , as well as a takeover of control of a number of state legislative chambers . It will also make some fair progress in some surprising Blue states , likely including Illinois .

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